.

Tuesday, April 2, 2019

Home Appliances To The Countryside Social Policy Essay

habitation Appliances To The Coun studyside Social Policy EssayThe inhabitancy thingummy exertion in China has mainly foc purposed on merchandiseing to European and America markets. It generally achieved double-digit growth in years before 2008. However, the export market is withering in young year. The export of household thingmabobs and electronic products last year recorded single a 3% ontogenesis and contribute to 72.5 billion U.S. dollars in 2008 (Xinhua News, 2009). For example, Chinas export value of simulation TV ranks had annually dropped by 18.4 in the first quarter of 2008, came to 1.67 billion U.S. dollars (Customs of China, 2009). Foreseeing much(prenominal) a declining trend, the Ministry of Finance and the Ministry of Commerce of the Peoples Republic of China had introduced a voy sequence proletariat for unpolished residents in December 2007. Such pilot put was called planetary house weapons to the countryside architectural plan which is a subventio n insurance on electronic house appliances for cracker-barrel beas. The trail was to be held in three provinces (Shandong, Henan and Sichuan) and sensation metropolis (Qingdao) by offering boorish residents a 13% pension on consuming the selected three categories (televisions, refrigerators and smooth ph oneness and only(a)s) of root appliances items.At present, the authentic aim of utilization of home appliances in Chinese untaught atomic number 18as is only equivalent to that of the urban battlefields at the late 1980s (China Research and apprehension Co., 2009). Every 100 Chinese verdant households possess the number of color TVs, washing machines, cell resounds and refrigerators only 2/3, 1/2, 1/2 and 1/4 respectively of the of urban households. The asymmetric information surrounded by the agricultural resident and the electronic home appliance manufacture results in adverse selection. This situation imposed the market failure as promoting electronic home ap pliances to country-bred areas. Hence, the aid policy of electronic home appliances for rural areas puke be regarded as a policy support by the g all overnment in order to promote electronic home appliances and, at that placefrom drive a long-term structural change when encouraging manufacturers to radiation pattern rural use products (Credit Suisse, 2009).In the third quarter of 2008, the risk of scrap mortgage in the United State provoked the global pecuniary tsunami. Due to the eruption of the global financial tsunami, the global economy is in respite and the export of China suffered a great loss. Moreover, when the financial crisis has plunged the piece into recession, protectionism in the globe market has been on the rise. consort to a recent World Bank study, from October 2008 to February 2009, forty seven trade-restricting measures were implemented (E. Gamberoni and R. Newfarmer, 2009). While the confidence had paid attention on the rise tide of trade protection ism and recession of export market, by the way of the primary success of the pilot project and the first extension of the class in the December 2008, the authorities inform thehome appliances to the countryside program would be lengthened into a national wide racing shell in February 2009 (Ministry of Finance, Ministry of Commerce and Ministry of Industry and Information Technology, 2008). According to the notice, the political sympathies aims to get ahead interior(prenominal) submit to secure economical growth, ameliorate living modular of the countrys rural population, boost national consumption and stimulate the industrial issue growth through the program extension. Such national wide bonus policy covers the entire rural areas in the nation with nine categories of home electronic appliance items.Signifi back toothces and aims of this studyAfter the extension of the home appliances to the countryside program in February 2009, it nationally targeted to the entire rura l residents. According to the home(a) chest of drawers of Statistics, the population of rural residents is 7.2 hundred million approximately, which is 55.06% of the population of China (National power of Statistics, 2008). With this humongous numbers of target participants, how the program to promote and implement rests on the government and the electronic home appliances industries.The Chinese Premier, Wen Jiabao, has commented on the Chinas stimulation package. According to his speech, the Chinas stimulus package is designed to both sustain economic growth and improve concourses livelihood. Policies colligate to affecting peoples well-being are inclined priority to allocate public resources (Embassy of China in the US, 2009). Namely, the authority regards the aid policy a crucial strategy to attach domestic demand and secure the economic growth downstairs the current economy stage setting and also a policy that also aims to improve the living exemplification of the r ural residents. Ministry of Commerce estimates that the home appliances to the countryside program willing boost domestic consumption and achieves RMB cl billion in the first year and only boost RMB 920 billion at the end of the program. However, compare with the approximate RMB 150 billion rural spending, the proportion is relatively small. During the first ten calendar month of 2009, the national sales of the grant program was 2787.8 units which accounted for RMB 5.08 billion. Within this period, the sales reckon record a go along dropping in August and kinsfolk turn the sales in August was nigh RMB 7.6 billion, and it was as emit as RMB 6.2 billion in September. (Peoples Daily, 2009). It was the first time of a continued deuce months sales decline from the RMB 8.8 billion sales in the July. These figures relegate that the outcome of the subsidy program is not able to meet the real approximation. This indicated the accepted estimation is too optimistic and overvalues t he participations of rural residents.The subsidy policy is a comprehensive strategy involving large numbers of rural residents and large amount of money. The participants of the rural residents are the key fundamental of the subsidy policy. hoidenish residents will not blindly consume what the electronic home appliance industry put on the market despite in that location is a 13% subsidy from the government. They rescue their concerns and evaluations to the policy.This study mainly focuses on the home appliances to the countryside program after February 2009 and its aims to summary the relationship among the government, the electronic home appliance industry and rural residents. For the government, the program is to boost domestic consumption in the rural area to secure economic growth. For the electronic home appliance manufacturers, they aim to soak up do goods. For the rural residents, they consider to improve their living bar after purchasing the electronic home appliances through a subsided wrong. By studying their dissimilar purposes to participate in the program, I will try to conclude some suggestion to enhance the efficiency of the home appliances to the countryside program since the outcome is not satisfied with the assumed estimation.Literature review dwelling appliances to the countryside programThe English translation as home appliances to the countryside program was officially used in the government and media in China. The program first started as a pilot project on three provinces and one city in December 2007. After holding the pilot project for one year, in December 2008, phrase one of the home appliances to the countryside program which extended its area to a total of 14 provinces, directly controlled municipalities and autonomous regions was started. At last, in the February 2009, the program extends to entire rural areas in the nation and to support the rural residents in nine categories of electronic home appliances (color TV set s, refrigerators, mobile phones, washing machines, air conditioners, water heaters, computers, microwave ovens and electromagnetic cookers). The program will last for four years to 2012 and rural residents were entitled to a 13% subsidy on purchasing the selected electronic home appliances ( readyed within two units in each category). Since this subsidy program targeted the rural residents, only those with rural residency qualify for the subsidies. According to regulations of operating the home appliances to the countryside program, a price limit was set on each category. (For example, color TV set RMB3500, refrigerators RMB2500, mobile phone RMB1000, washing machines RMB2000, etc). The original purpose to set up such limit is to ensure items are affordable to the rural residents. However, this limit was regarded as one of the factors that hinder to achieve the approximate rural expending.The home appliances to countryside program has been running for more than ten months since Feb ruary 2009 and divers(prenominal) kinds of statistics were announced. According to the Ministry of Commerce, thither are 17 home electronic appliances companies which has accumulated sales over 100 million and they include Haier, Gree, Midea, Skyworth, Konka, TCL, Lenovo, etc. Among these companies, Haier is the enterprise which benefits the most from subsidy program and has the highest accumulated sales figures of RMB 8.6 billion during the past 10 months. However, there are still 14 companies out of 348 which show fragmenting sales while another 17 enterprises sold less than 10 units (Minister of Commerce 2009).Indicators of whole tone of liveAs mentioned earlier in this study, the subsidy program in also a social welfare program. This policy supports the rural residents to subvert electronic home appliances in order to improve their life standard. David E. Bloom, Patricia H. Craig and pia N. Malaney in their study concluded several indicators to evaluate quality of life. They are nutrition, health, education, income, gender equality, fertility, political, civil, and economic freedom, environmental quality, access to infra twist, and access to information.Televisions and mobile phone convenience their life and also provide a channel for them to gain information. Manufactures are required to add special functions which are fit to use in rural environment. The models of mobile phone which selected in the program are required to enhance the signal accessing ability where signal from network operators in rural environment are instability. In the long run, the purpose of the subsidy program is guiding the manufactures to set up production line for rural markets. As a result, when the program ends in 2012, the subsidy program is expect to motivate the production of the electronic home appliances sector, meanwhile, stimulate the industrial structure development.Consumption behavior in rural areasThe home appliances to the countryside program is a strategy to boo st domestic consumption by encouraging the rural residents to consume more. By understanding the consumption behavior of the rural residents, the government can estimate their reflection and hence the efficiency of policies can be guaranteed.Since there are various hierarchy of need, people would use their income to acquire the basic survival resources as their priority while the development products would be subsequent and fol small-scaleing by the leisure goods (W.H. Wong, 1999). In other words, there is a sequence of consuming. W. Guo concluded the basic sequence of expanding spending of rural residents in his study (W. Guo 1998). It is reproduction goods, housing, and education for theyounger generation, transportation, electronic home appliances, and commodities. infra this sequence of consuming, we can predict the consumption behavior of rural households.Basically, face-to-face disposable income minus personal saving is personal consumption expenditure (N. Gregory Manki, 20 04). Therefore, personal disposable income becomes one of the factors that affect personal consumption expenditure. Wong in his study indicated that, the consumption power and intention to spend are different in different level of household income. pastoral households of high level income prefer to consume to increase living standard. On the contrast, rural households of low income level trend to fulfill basic need because of constraining by the limed of income.When the rural residents can fulfill their basic need, they who are mobilized by the subsidy program are able to consume the electronic home appliances. in shelter income source due to deficient in land useAccording to the World Bank, 90% of poverty is still rural excluding migrant workers from the rural population (World Bank, 2009). Although per capital net income of rural households has been being steady rising these years, the income gap between the urban and rural has also grown. According to the National Bureau of Stat istic, in 2007 the per capital annual net income of urban households is around RMB 14908, meanwhile, the per capital annual net income of rural households is around RMB 4140, which is only 27.7% of the urban households (National Bureau of Statistic, 2008). Moreover, the rural households does not feel a sense of auspices on their income source since they only have use rights to but do not own the land themselves. In addition, the long-term investment in land is demotivated because of the insecurity of use rights (Jacoby H., Li G., Rozelle, S., 2002). Because of the consumption expenditure related to the personal income, in income of rural households are not security, they prefer to nest egg rather than consumption. It can be regarded one of the factors that demoviated the rural residents to participate in the home appliance to countryside program.Coverage of Social Security is low in rural areasAccording to China Social Security Annual Bulletin, in 2007, there were nearly 476 milli on people in Chinas rural ram force. However, in that year, the numbers of workers contributed to the old age pension system was few than 52 million and only 11 percent of the rural assiduity force was covered by the scheme (Y. Yang, J.B. Williamson, C. Shen, 2009). Scholars conclude the old age pension system does not have reliable source of financing, and abundant of problems of funds embezzlement and is low benefits (I. Nielsen, C. Nyland, R. Smyth, M.Q. Zhang and C. J. Zhu, 2005). Since they do not and are not force to contribute to the old age pension. The rural residents rely on their savings as their risk protection. As a result, the take inion to the rural residents of the 13% subsidy from the program will decrease and the participation of the rural will be affected.Game TheoryGame scheme is a study of the ways in whichstrategic interactionsamongrational playersproduceoutcomeswith respect to theutilities of those players (Daniel Burgess, 2005). In other words, spirite d theory analyses how agents (players) guide decision which sufficient their own utilities instrategic situations ( mettlesomes). It is a mathematic theory which can be applied toin thesocial sciences research. It emphases that each player tortuous in game will estimate their benefits and acts in order to gain the exceed outcome individually. If in a situation where it is not possible to increase benefits only by the implementation of one single player, this strategy is called the Nash equilibrium. Players involved in game relation will only seek to benefit oneself, it sometimes leads to a situation of prisoner dilemma. In such situation, people do not cooperate although by so they can make both of them to be better off. The efficiency of a policy depends on the coherence between the Nash equilibrium and policy makers ideal central stagecoach (Osborne, Martin J. Rubinstein, Ariel, 2003). Every participant involves a policy will make different choices which affect the outcome a nd efficiency of a policy. As a result, we can use the conclusion by analyzing game models of each participant to improve the efficiency of a policy.ArgumentsThe home appliances to the countryside program has dual functions. On one hand, it is an economic policy that emphases on maintaining economy growth by boosting domestic consumption. On the other hand, it is a social welfare policy that accents on improving the living standard of rural residents by subsidizing them to purchase electronic home appliances. The government, the electronic home appliances industry and the rural residents can make out their own strategies to participate to the home appliances to countryside program. This study argues the game relations among the players of the home appliances to countryside program will hinder the rural residents to participate to the program. As a result, the expected outcome of the subsidy program will be held back. suppositional frameworkAs mentioned before, according to the game theory, the efficiency of a policy depends on the coherence between the Nash equilibrium and policy makers ideal focal point. The gap between the objectives and results of the policy originated from the game relations among the players. Although the government has had a good intention, the results of the program gained at present were not conforming to the original estimation. In this study, a game-theoretic model is used to study the relationships among rural residents, enterprises and governments under the policy that rural residents are encouraged to participate to the subsidy program. The government can adopt to optimize the program in order to attract more rural residents to participate and consume. The rural resident can choose to or not to participate in the program by conniving their benefit and loss. As each participant seeks to satisfy its utility, this program can be analyzed as an n-person non-cooperative game. This paper tries to relocate the roles of governments, an d put front some policy suggestion on promoting the home appliances to the countryside program.Research methodological analysisIn research methodology, I will use data analysis as well as document analysis methods to analyze in which areas the government should improve the home appliances to the countryside program. The Ministry of Commerce and the National Bureau of Statistics have been promulgating data about the subsidy program each month. Moreover, Thought these data, the game relations among the participants in the program (including the government, the industry and rural residents) can be examined. Since the subsidy program is highly concerned by the public. Scholars have been investigated and commented on the program. Their researches can contribute to relevance the game relation among the participants.BibliographyFull text of Chinese Premier Wen Jiabaos speech at 2009 Summer Davos in Dalian. (2009), Embassy of the Peoples Republic of China in the United States of America. A valiable online http//www.china-embassy.org/chn/zt/t583718.htm (accessed 4 November 2009)Guanyu quanguo tuiguang jia dian xia xiang gongzuo de tongzhi (Notice from three government departments about the national implementtiona of home appliances to the countryside program) , Ministry of Finance, Ministry of Commerce, and Ministry of Industry and Information Technology of China. gettable online http//www.gov.cn/gzdt/2008-12/05/content_1169347.htm (accessed 30 October 2009)Jia dian xia xiang yun niang zheng ce tiao zheng, zhong biao qi ye jiang you tao tai zhi, Ministry of Commerce, China.Caidian hangye juyu yu tiaozhan bingcun(The Color TV industry Opportunities and Challenges), Ceneral Administration of Customs of China. Available online http//www.customs.gov.cn82/gate/big5/www.customs.gov.cn/Portals/0/jcyj/-ifbase4-base76-vfHE6jG8vrbIztK5+rLKteez9r-awb-D98-Uz8K9tbLKtefQ0NK1u-rT9tPrzPTVvbKitOYuZG9j (accessd 20 November 2009)Xiaoshou yu ladong neisu yuqi you cha ju, jiadian xiiaxia ng yunniang tiaozheng (Gap between the Sales and the estimated consumption, home appliances to the country program is brew to adjust). Renmin ribao (Peoples Daily). 19 November 2009Daniel Burgess, (2005) Utilitarianism, Game Theory and the Social Contract, Macalester Journal of Philosophy, Volume 14, Issue 1. P.75enzyme-linked-immunosorbent serologic assay Gamberoni and Richard Newfarmer. (2009) Trade Protection Incipient but Worrisome Trend, Trade Notes.Ingrid Nielsen, Chris Nyland, Russell Smyth, Mingqiong Zhang and Cherrie Jiuhua Zhu (2005). Which Rural Migrants Receive Social Insurance in Chinese Cites?, SAGE world-wide Social polic, P.353-381Jacoby, H., Li, G., Rozelle, S., (2002) Hazards of expropriation tenure insecurity and investment in rural China. American Economic Review, v. 92, n. 5, p. 1.420-1.447.National Bureau of Statistics of China.(2008) Population and Composition, China Statistical annual 2008. 3-1, 9-5, and 9-20. Available online http//www.stats.gov.cn/tjsj/nd sj/2008/indexce.htm (accessed 4 Nov)N. Gregory Mankiw. (2004) Principles of Economics, Thomson Learning, Chapter 26.Osborne, Martin J. Rubinstein, Ariel. (2003) Sampling equilibrium, with an application to strategic voting. Games and Economic Behavior, P.434-441. written report Group of Asia Technology Research Analyst Team. (2009), Chinas electronics subsidy programme, Credit Suisse. theatre of operations Group of China Research and Intelligence Co. (2009) Research Report on Chinese Home Appliance Manufacturing Industry, 2008-2009, China Research and Intelligence Co.Wang Guanqun. (2009) Home appliances makers catch their breath as rural sales boom (text), Xinhua News, 31 May. Available online http//news.xinhuanet.com/english/2009-05/31/content_11463552.htm (accessed 4 November2009).Wei Guo. (1998) Non cun shi chang he yi qi er bu dong, Jing ji xue xin xi bao. China.Weihong Wong. (1999) Zhong guo nong cun ju min xiao fei de ji ben qu shi ji zhi yue nong min xiao fei xing wei dei ji ben yin su fen xi(An analyze of factors that constructs to the consumption behavior in rural area of China), National Economic Research Institute, China Reform Foundation. P.13World Bank. (2009) China, From miserable Areas to Poor People. China World Bank.Yinan Yang, John B. Williamson, Ce Shen (2009.) Social security for Chinas rural aged a proposal based on a universal on contributory pension, International Journal of Social Welfare.

No comments:

Post a Comment